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Macro by Mark

Global Economic Data, Empirical Models, and Macro Theory
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Public data from government agencies and multilateral statistical releases, anchored in official sources

© 2026 Mark Jayson Nation

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Theory-Based Models

Loading Theory-Based Models

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Okun's Law
Model

An empirical regularity linking the unemployment gap to the output gap: u - u* = -beta * (Y - Y*)/Y*. When output exceeds potential, unemployment falls below its natural rate, and vice versa.

Compare

This model uses static comparative statics -- no genuine time axis exists.

Shock presets

Recession

Output drops well below potential, opening a negative output gap and pushing unemployment above the natural rate.

Expansion boom

Output exceeds potential, compressing the unemployment rate below its natural level.

Structural unemployment rise

Labor-market frictions increase, raising the natural rate of unemployment without changing the output gap.

Controls

Diagram, readouts, and summary update with each change.

Structural

Okun relationship

Cyclical

Impact summary

Current position

Unemployment

5.00

Output gap

0.0

Natural rate

5.0

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