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Indicators/Topics/Business/Activity nowcast/United States

United States

Activity nowcast

High-frequency nowcast of current activity.

IndicatorsBusinessActivity nowcast - United States
FRED
FrequencymonthlyTransformlevel

Source: FRED · EUANDH

Stored official data

Activity nowcast - United States in United States was 0.02 on March 1, 2026, higher by 0.17 (+113.3%) from the prior observation. Charted from monthly observations in index.

Latest0.02
MoM+113.33%
YoY+125.00%
10Y Avg-0.00
Latest observationMarch 1, 2026
Model surprise+0.01

Timeframe

Value transform

Version overlay

Chart appearance

Overlays & outputNBER bandsAuto Y
Axis & export

Activity nowcast - United States time series chart. Showing observations from March 1967 to March 2026. Latest value 0.02.

Min-9.01
Mean0.00
Max1.99
Latest observationMarch 1, 2026

Source evidence

Tier 1 - criticalU.S. macro backbone via St. Louis Fed; revision/vintage capable.Action: deepen nowExpected coverage: 800,000 series.
Source noteProvider health
SourceFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED)
FRED
Native keyProvider-native identifier used to reconcile this country/provider series.
EUANDH
FreshnessDisplayed as stored official data.The provider-backed series is outside its expected freshness window, so this view should be refreshed before production use.Fetched: May 24, 2026.Latest observation flag: Preliminary.
Stored · 2026-03-01
HistoryPoint-in-time data via the FRED ALFRED endpoint. Each request returns the values as they were published on the supplied vintage date.Vintage history is derived from FRED ALFRED's realtime_start/realtime_end query parameters.
Source-native vintage
ReuseCommercial use: dataset specific.Redistribution: review required.Do not treat FRED as an automatically reusable commercial-display source. Prefer direct BEA, BLS, Census, FRB, Treasury, and EIA feeds where possible.Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (EUANDH). Accessed 2026-05-24. Underlying-source rights may differ.
Dataset exceptions

Research notes

80 · Acceptable
ComparabilityAggregator is not the statistical authority: Use the source agency, source code, and methodology link when citing or reconciling with official releases.Labor definitions vary by survey and agency: Do not mix levels across definitions; compare rates or changes only after matching population, adjustment, and frequency.Seasonal-adjustment status needs attention: Prefer same-adjustment comparisons, or transform to year-over-year changes before cross-series comparison.
3 notes
QualitySource authority: 82/100. Aggregator source: useful access layer, but official methodology remains with the originating agency.Methodology completeness: 100/100. 100% of core provider, geography, unit, frequency, citation, and revision fields are populated.Timeliness and freshness: 90/100. 709 observations available; latest observation 2026-03-01; platform fetch 2026-05-24T12:24:50.003Z; release status none; data status liveRevision and vintage depth: 100/100. Point-in-time data via the FRED ALFRED endpoint. Each request returns the values as they were published on the supplied vintage date.
3/6 strong
CitationActivity nowcast - United States (FRED (St. Louis Fed): EUANDH, United States, retrieved May 24, 2026)
Retrieved May 24, 2026

Continue browsing

Browse all Business indicatorsAdjacent concepts across providers and countries.View United States macro coverageEvery curated indicator for this country.View FRED catalogFilter the discovery catalog by this provider.
Series details, provenance, and revision toolsMetadata, release notes, revision history, and related series.

Series details

SourceFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED)
CategoryBusiness
FrequencyMonthly
UnitIndex
Latest observationMarch 1, 2026
Platform last fetchMay 24, 2026
Transformslevel, mom, yoy, index 100
About this series

Chicago Fed National Activity Index: Employment, Unemployment and Hours

Related measures

Adjacent and similar concepts available for United States.

Industrial productionDurable goods ordersBusiness confidence
Open country pivot

The reading right now

As of March 2026, Activity nowcast for United States stood at 0.02. That is up 0.17 from the prior month. Over the trailing five years, the series has averaged 0.03, ranging from a low of -0.15 in February 2026 to a high of 0.41 in July 2021. The current reading sits 0.02 above its trailing ten-year mean of -0.

Computed from the observation series on this page. Numbers update when the underlying provider revises the data.