宏观塑造着每一份薪水、每一次衰退、每一次央行决策。这些就是经济学家用来讨论这一切——以及彼此争论其含义——的核心概念。
塑造今日宏观的五个瞬间
The Great Depression breaks the old confidence
Mass unemployment and prolonged collapse exposed the limits of the self-correcting story and became the crisis marker that reordered macroeconomics.
Keynes and effective demand
Modern macro begins here: Keynes argued that economies can settle below full employment when aggregate demand is too weak.
The Great Inflation and stagflation
High inflation and weak growth arriving together shattered confidence in simple demand management and forced a rethink of inflation dynamics.
Financial crisis and empirical rebuild
The global financial crisis pushed macro back toward banks, leverage, systemic fragility, and sharper empirical identification.
Supply chains, inflation persistence, and plural methods
Recent inflation and supply disruptions reinforced that macro still needs more than one lens: policy, production, trade, logistics, and expectations now move together.
Why do recessions happen?
为什么衰退总像是让所有人措手不及?