Macroeconomic model reference

Smooth transition regression Model

Regression with gradual regime weights, allowing coefficients to transition smoothly as a threshold variable changes.

Empirical forecasting models · Sources

Smooth transition regression sources, papers, and evidence trail

Primary papers, model variants, source notes, and review signals behind the Smooth transition regression page.

References

Reference sources

Reference material used for orientation; read primary and academic sources first when claims conflict.

  1. [S1] Reference

    Granger and Terasvirta (1993) introduced the STR framework and the specification cycle (test, specify, estimate, evaluate).

    Reference

  2. [S2] Reference

    Terasvirta (1994) developed the LM-type linearity test based on Taylor expansion and the LSTAR vs ESTAR selection procedure.

    Reference

  3. [S3] Reference

    Luukkonen, Saikkonen, and Terasvirta (1988) provided the theoretical foundation for testing linearity against STR alternatives.

    Reference

  4. [S4] Reference

    van Dijk, Terasvirta, and Franses (2002) surveyed the STR literature and provided guidelines for practical implementation.

    Reference

  5. [S5] Reference

    Eitrheim and Terasvirta (1996) developed misspecification tests for estimated STR models (no remaining nonlinearity, no ARCH, parameter constancy).

    Reference

  6. [S6] Reference

    Michael, Nobay, and Peel (1997) applied ESTAR to real exchange rates and PPP, establishing the transaction-cost interpretation.

    Reference

  7. [S7] Reference

    Gonzalez, Terasvirta, and van Dijk (2005) extended the framework to panel data with heterogeneous transition parameters.

    Reference

Continue reading

Concepts, data, and nearby models

Open the concept, data series, policy setting, or neighboring model that anchors this page.