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Macroeconomic country profile

Bhutan

Lower-middle-income mountain economy where hydropower, public investment, tourism, agriculture, and Indian links shape growth. Track hydropower commissioning, rupee liquidity, tourism recovery, public debt, food prices, and youth labor migration

AsiaBT
Indicators/Countries/Bhutan

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  • How to read Bhutan
  • Source discipline

Bhutan

Overview

Bhutan is a Himalayan and South Asian economy best read through hydropower, public investment, tourism, agriculture, and Indian trade. External pressure usually enters through India electricity demand, rupee liquidity, tourism arrivals, food imports, and project finance. The current macro file uses official national sources first and IMF or World Bank series for cross-country comparison.

How to read Bhutan

Start with hydropower, public investment, tourism, agriculture, and Indian trade. Those sectors explain where income, jobs, tax receipts, and external financing pressure are most likely to show up first S1,S4.

Then separate domestic movement from external shocks. For Bhutan, the external file is India electricity demand, rupee liquidity, tourism arrivals, food imports, and project finance; each item can move demand, prices, reserves, public finance, or bank balance sheets before the broad data turn S2,S4,S5.

Currency: Bhutanese ngultrum, pegged to the Indian rupee; monetary and financial policy are led by the Royal Monetary Authority. The monetary setting matters because it tells the reader whether adjustment comes through interest rates, reserves, fiscal policy, credit controls, or imported-price pressure S2,S4.

Source discipline

The profile uses a strict source order. National releases control the country story; IMF and World Bank values are used to compare Bhutan with peers on the same definitions S1,S4,S5.

Use IMF values for cross-country comparison, then check the national source before quoting a latest release. That rule is especially important for small states, monetary unions, dollarized economies, and territories where regional data can look cleaner than the national release but answer a different question S1,S2,S4.

The fact file is dated because these numbers move. Treat any growth, inflation, unemployment, debt, or current-account statement as a release-sensitive claim, not a permanent description S1,S6,S7,S8,S9.

Current macro file

Real GDP
IMF DataMapper latest available values put real GDP growth at 7.5 percent in 2026, after 7.1 percent in 2025as of 2025-2026[S6]
Inflation
IMF DataMapper latest available values put average consumer-price inflation at 4 percent in 2026, after 2.6 percent in 2025as of 2025-2026[S7]
Labor
IMF DataMapper latest available values put unemployment at 3.5 percent in 2023, after 5.9 percent in 2022as of 2022-2023[S8]
Scale
IMF DataMapper places nominal GDP at about $3.9 billion in 2026as of 2026[S6]
People
IMF DataMapper population series puts resident population at about 0.79 million in 2026as of 2026[S6]
Money
Currency: Bhutanese ngultrum, pegged to the Indian rupee; monetary and financial policy are led by the Royal Monetary Authority[S2]
Institutions
Constitutional monarchy and parliamentary democracy with an elected National Assembly and National Council[S3]

Do not collapse the profile into one number

Bhutan's GDP, prices, labor market, public finance, and external balance can point in different directions. The useful read asks which source moved, which sector felt it first, and whether the policy framework can absorb the pressure S1,S2,S4.

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