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Theoretical · Subfamily
How forward-looking expectations and the credibility of a policy rule shape the response of inflation and output to shocks.
What this subfamily is for
Use this subfamily when the question is about anchoring: why a credible inflation target dampens pass-through, how a policy rule changes the slope of the short-run trade-off, and what happens when households stop believing the rule.
Coverage
Currently leans on the Taylor rule and Phillips curve walkthroughs to illustrate credibility and expectations effects. A dedicated rational-expectations baseline page is not yet stood up.
Models currently covered
Each model below has its own theoretical reference page with overview, explore, and compare views.
A monetary-policy route for seeing how the policy rate moves when inflation overshoots or the economy runs above potential.
Core question: How aggressively should the policy rate react to inflation and output gaps?
A compact route for tracing how unemployment gaps, anchored inflation, and supply shocks shape the inflation tradeoff.
Core question: How does labor-market slack translate into inflation pressure?
Back to the family
The theoretical family landing has the full catalog of model pages, plus the other subfamily groupings.