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Empirical · Semi-structural / macroeconometric forecasting · Subgroup
The backbone semi-structural systems -- small-to-medium estimated equation systems for output, prices, labor, and policy that respect identities without imposing full DSGE micro-foundations.
What this subgroup is for
Reach for the core families when you want a workhorse macroeconometric system that ties output, inflation, the labor market, and a policy rule together inside one estimated structure.
Reference coverage
2 models linked in this subgroup's empirical reference coverage.
Models currently covered
Each model below has its own empirical reference page with overview, graph, proof, and comparison material.
A core block of estimated macro equations -- output, inflation, labor, policy -- wired together without full DSGE micro-foundations.
Best for: A medium-sized policy-oriented forecasting system that respects identities and rules without committing to a fully micro-founded model.
Larger central-bank-style macroeconometric forecasting systems built around behavioral equations and policy reaction functions.
Best for: Producing forecasts and policy scenarios in a setting where a small VAR is too thin and a full DSGE is more structure than the question needs.
Back to the cluster
The cluster page lists every model in this empirical class, including the ones that do not yet have a fifth-layer subgroup.