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国別マクロ経済プロファイル

Canada

A federal parliamentary democracy and commodity-rich advanced economy organized around provinces, immigration, housing, energy, the U.S. border, Indigenous rights, and a central bank holding inflation near target while trade risk rises.

AmericasCA
指標/国/Canada

On this page

  • Five structural pillars
  • Where to go in the data next

Canada

概要

Canada is a federal parliamentary democracy of ten provinces and three territories, holding a population of about 41.5 million at the start of 2026. The economy is high-income, services-led, and resource-rich, with a goods sector built on autos, energy, metals, timber, and agriculture. The Canadian dollar floats. Monetary policy sits with an independent Bank of Canada targeting 2 percent inflation. Fiscal policy is split between Ottawa and the provinces, with federal transfers smoothing the fiscal capacity of poorer provinces. Population growth has been driven almost entirely by immigration since the early 2010s, and the country's working-age cohort would be shrinking without it.

Five structural pillars

Federal architecture with strong subnational policy authority. Sections 91 and 92 of the Constitution Act, 1867 split powers between Ottawa and the provinces. Provinces own most of health care, education, securities regulation, natural resources, electricity, housing rules, labor standards, and a large slice of taxation. Federal-provincial transfers (the Canada Health Transfer, the Canada Social Transfer, equalization, and territorial formula financing) smooth fiscal capacity across the federation S7,S11.

U.S. exposure as ballast and risk. The 8,891-kilometer Canada-United States border is the longest international land border in the world, and the United States buys about three quarters of Canadian goods exports in a typical year. Autos, energy, gold, and intermediate inputs all swing the monthly trade balance with U.S. demand and tariff policy S8,S9.

Resource wealth at continental scale. Oil and gas in Alberta, Saskatchewan, and offshore Newfoundland and Labrador; potash and uranium on the Prairies; nickel, copper, gold, and iron ore across the Canadian Shield; hydroelectric capacity in Quebec, Manitoba, British Columbia, and Labrador; and prairie grain together give Canada a hard-asset base most advanced economies cannot match S10,S12.

Population growth driven by immigration. Births minus deaths now contribute almost nothing to annual population change. Net international migration supplies the rest, and recent surges and the 2024 cap announcements have made immigration a first-order macro variable for housing, the labor force, and provincial budgets S4,S11.

Inflation-targeting credibility. The Bank of Canada operates under a renewed inflation-control agreement with a 2 percent target inside a 1 to 3 percent band, indexed to the headline CPI. The overnight target was held at 2.25 percent at the April 2026 decision after a sequence of cuts from the 2023-2024 peak S2,S5.

Continue with the data

Where to go in the data next

The indicator chapter is the live snapshot. Start with output and prices, then read labor, then external balance and finance. Use the indicator topic links to walk down from canonical indicators into the underlying provider series.

Open the indicator chapterBrowse output and pricesCountry atlas

Country fact file

Capital
Ottawa
Currency
Canadian dollar (CAD)[S5]
Population
≈ 41.47 millionas of 2026-01-01[S4]
Total area
≈ 9.985 million square kilometers[S12]
Government type
Federal parliamentary democracy and constitutional monarchy[S7]
Subdivisions
10 provinces and 3 territories[S7]
Founding documents
Constitution Acts, 1867 to 1982; Charter of Rights and Freedoms, 1982[S7]
United Nations
Founding member, 1945[S16]
G7 and OECD
Founding member, 1976 (G7); 1961 (OECD)[S11]
Real GDP by industry
+0.2% m/mas of 2026-02[S1]
CPI
+2.4% y/yas of 2026-03[S2]
Unemployment
6.7%as of 2026-03[S3]
Overnight target
2.25%as of 2026-04-29[S5]
Federal fiscal balance
C$25.5B deficit (April-February)as of 2025-26[S6]

Two readings of the Canadian growth model

The central macro argument is whether Canada can maintain high immigration, expensive housing, resource development, climate policy, and U.S. integration without pricing younger households out of the bargain. Both readings are defended in serious policy work, and a country profile should not pick a winner.

Open-growth reading

Immigration, energy, minerals, and infrastructure can keep Canada wealthy if permitting and housing supply scale up. The country's openness is its comparative advantage and can fund the demographic transition [S4, S9, S10, S11].

Capacity-first reading

Housing, health care, transit, productivity, and provincial budgets have not scaled fast enough; more demand alone worsens the squeeze and erodes intergenerational fairness [S3, S4, S6, S11].

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